Syrah Resources (ASX: SYR) is set to gain a significant competitive advantage following the US Department of Commerce's (DOC) finalisation of anti-dumping (AD) and Countervailing Duties (CVD) on Chinese graphite imports.
The DOC has finalised aggregate AD and CVD rates on Chinese graphite active anode material (AAM) imports at a minimum of 160%.
This includes a final dumping margin of 102.72% and a final subsidy rate of approximately 67%.
These significant measures, if affirmed by the International Trade Commission (ITC) in March 2026, will apply for a minimum five-year period.
Syrah expects these trade protections to support a fairer US AAM market, materially improve its competitive position, and potentially accelerate Vidalia AAM sales and boost demand for Balama graphite.
Vidalia Facility Poised for Growth
Syrah's Vidalia facility currently has a capacity of 11.25 ktpa and is targeting a substantial expansion to 45 ktpa by 2029.
The facility has already achieved commercial sales, recording US$8.5 million in Q4 2025.
Product metrics for Vidalia AAM, including high carbon purity and competitive electrochemical performance, have been validated through qualification with Tier 1 customers.
This positions Vidalia to meet the growing demand for ex-China AAM.
Tesla Offtake Risk Mitigated
The cure date for an alleged default under Syrah's offtake agreement with Tesla has been extended to 16 March 2026.
The final qualification deadline for Vidalia AAM under this agreement has also been pushed to 16 March 2026, though this remains subject to consent from the US Department of Energy (DOE).
Syrah maintains that it is not in default and is actively collaborating with Tesla to resolve the alleged issue.
However, the risk of Tesla terminating the offtake agreement remains if final qualification is not achieved by the new deadline.
Balama Operations and Funding Support
The company's Balama graphite operation in Mozambique delivered production of 34kt for Q4 2025, with a 76% recovery rate and 95% grade.
These operational metrics highlight the facility's consistent output.
In a boost to funding, the Development Finance Corporation (DFC) has disbursed an additional US$8.5 million to the Balama operation.
Furthermore, interest payments and related fees on the DFC loan have been deferred to 15 May 2026.
Syrah intends to seek additional funding in the March 2026 quarter to support Balama operations.
Future Outlook
The finalised US AD/CVD rates represent a significant regulatory tailwind for Syrah Resources, potentially enhancing its market position and accelerating sales from its Vidalia facility.
While risks related to the Tesla offtake and ongoing funding needs persist, the company's strategic focus on ex-China supply chains and operational progress at Balama position it to benefit from favourable global policy trends.
